Recently, people always ask me, ; the news the real unreal. I say it is not too important. Although this is a news network and the media immediately provoked much discussion. Some people think that this figure is not tricky, also suggested that high housing vacancy rate in China indicates that China real estate bubble has blown enough, to the eve of the bust. a matter of opinion.
for such a data, I would have said, regardless of whether the data is accurate or not, no matter how the data sources, both academic and government departments will not study or as the basis for decision-making. but, aware of the data it wants to. because of the people is very simple, either the current National Bureau of Statistics of the housing vacancy rate is different with this understanding of the vacancy rate, we To understand the authenticity of the data, as long as they live near the area to know more about, the truth will get to the bottom. for the country, as long as the current redefinition of China's housing vacancy rate, and on this basis, a national housing census, China the level of housing vacancy rate is not very clear? Therefore, the data above is true in fact the case in the end did not matter, the important thing is the housing market in the end is what kind of market, is a popular market speculation, or a solution to the vast majority of residents in the basic housing conditions in the market. In this regard, the current market is basically a consensus that both the spirit of the country ten words or some government officials are considered to be comprehensive to curb real estate speculation and real estate market return to a consumer market.
Therefore, the so-called national grid by monitoring the problem of vacant housing is not based on the number of size, but rather that a basic problem, namely, China's real estate market is very serious speculation speculation machine . Since the current Chinese real estate market speculation is very serious, then the country ten pairs of real estate speculation and against strict restrictions are inevitable. Moreover, domestic real estate as a serious market speculation, not only to prove the so-called National Grid Data , it also uses a lot of information and ways to prove the seriousness of the domestic real estate market speculation.
, for example, market research department of Beijing Zhongyuan three sample survey, the end of 2008 Beijing housing investment accounted for 18.8%; the end of 2009 Beijing housing Investment accounted for 38%; Beijing from March to April 2010 the proportion of housing investment 41.2%; May-July Beijing housing investment has dropped 14.5%. These data show? shows that China has become a speculative real estate market is completely speculation-driven market, the high proportion of speculation is very alarming. especially the current real estate market speculation for more than 40%, the domestic real estate market speculation is beyond the madness be added (because, the proportion of housing sales in the months also includes affordable housing, housing prices, etc.). I have always said, if not central to the timely introduction of the country ten real estate speculation frenzy suddenly stops, or from March to April this year, the Housing continue for another year the real estate market scenario, the Chinese real estate market really crashes!
domestic real estate speculation, and also reflected the seriousness of domestic residents to buy a house but not a rush to buy housing on the phenomenon room. In this year's 4 Before the month, with prices around the country continue to soar and real estate speculation, who is rushed into the real estate market, many people see the room to grab. In the eyes of such speculation, as long as the house is to grab grab money, and therefore, these people do not look into the real estate market, low price, do not see how the quality of housing, but do not look at the ability of individual housing purchase, to see whether its purchase of housing is expected to sell a higher price. In this case, the domestic real estate speculation around how can we not develop to the point of madness? when the government of a country ten introduction of housing on some limits on speculation (ie, consumer incentives to buy homes has not changed a bit), housing, expect speculation to its re-entering the real estate market to buy no one come to take over, all over the housing sales to stop immediately. and this sudden stop of home sales is not just a few first-tier cities, but cities across the country. This shows that the domestic real estate speculation is not the only first-tier cities of the few things the city, but the country generally do. When the country have become a real estate speculation market, then China's real estate market and the difficulties facing the Chinese economy and problem can be big. In other words, the current Chinese real estate market speculation is not only the seriousness of the vacancy rate is used to prove, but a way to prove and a lot of information.
example, housing income, housing rent rates of individual mortgage loans and so on repayment of the real estate market speculation that China is very serious. Since the domestic real estate market speculation is a very serious, then use the national grid monitoring data to show that this phenomenon is only one hand. The data also do not have too much to ask for the authenticity of the.
short, who can not because the national grid monitoring data is not accurate to be able to deny the seriousness of the Chinese real estate speculation, and no one can monitor the data in the national grid Otherwise, the current state to the informal nature of ten pairs of the importance of macro-control of real estate. precisely because the Chinese real estate speculation serious, huge real estate bubble in China, the country ten pairs of control to adjust the domestic real estate market is inevitable. Thus, although the government implementation and the implementation of ten countries also left a lot of room, but some people would like to take the national grid monitoring data is not accurate to state ten out is impossible. At this point, I believe that the central government's determination on the real estate macro control.
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